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Indicator Update: Here Comes the Debate about Jobs!

Sometimes the political and economic streams converge to determine the agenda. Prepare for a non-stop debate about  jobs. This week the major data all relate to employment.  We also have the first of the Presidential debates, Wednesday night at 9:00 PM EDT.  Moderator Jim Lehrer, whom I met when he got an honorary degree in […]

Weekly Sector Update – Gold ($)

TCA_ETF Felix Expanded SEP 26, 2012

Finally! GDX is out of the penalty box. The strength is still high at 127. We have been waiting for this to come out the pb for a while now and are excited to see it still rank so high. Our other models favor gold in this market, as well. Investor Take GDX has a […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, September 28th, 2012. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mixed today.  The 2Y Swap Spread is falling -10.5% to 21.7 bps. The TED Spread is down -2.5% to 26.72 bps. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is rising +1.0% to […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, September 28, 2012 ($)

crystalball

So far this week played out according to plan. My plan, that is. Yesterday the equity markets rose the most for a day since the FOMC announcement two weeks ago. Some might say the market was oversold. Others might attribute the rise to developments in Spain. I say that the holiday season was over, the […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, September 27, 2012 ($)

crystalball

The holiday is over and we are in the home stretch for the end of the quarter. The profit taking and asset allocation trades have occurred. We are back to the top of the batting order. Now the bargain hunters and big boys are going to take their swings. I expect a positive bias the […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, September 26th, 2012. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are deteriorating meaningfully today. The 2Y Swap Spread is jumping +18.4% to 16.1 bps. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is dropping -17.0% to -26.66 bps(-29.2% in 5 days). The FRA-OIS Spread […]

Is Spain Back In The Crosshairs Of The Market?

Global markets are lower today with Asian selling off overnight and Europe lower this morning. The broad weakness in Europe comes amid continued protests in the streets of Madrid.  Spain’s prime minister said the country would only seek a bailout if interest rates became too high for the economy.  The ECB has done its part […]

Two new short ideas: Tesla and K12

Markets are in the red, tech’s leading on the downside. Apple Inc. AAPL +1.21%  itself has now pulled back some 6% from its all-time highs, which were set just last week. As a subscriber wrote on the Subscriber Chat last night: “I think the last couple of days have been just a great illustration of […]

More Earnings Warnings Starting To Surface

Global markets were mixed overnight while US markets are higher this morning Asian markets were mixed overnight.  JPMorgan suggested that China has more room to cut rates while the China Securities Journal disputed the notion and said that the current monetary stance is appropriate. European markets were mostly lower this morning after a weak Spanish […]

Staples is doomed

spls

The markets are up huge in the past three months.  Check out this chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index via BigCharts.com: With stocks up so much, I’ve been reducing the weighting of my longs on TradingWithCody.com (a service not affiliated with MarketWatch, where I detail my trades in real time).  I’m really […]

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