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Gary Smith’s Market Take

MarketTakePic

Here’s my take on the markets today, November 30th, 2012. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mostly deteriorating today. The Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread is down -1.8% to 313.67 bps. The US sovereign cds is down -2.9% to 35.18 bps and the Israel sovereign cds is down […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 30, 2012 ($)

crystalball

We got some solid follow through action yesterday lead by my favorite risk-on index, the Russell 2000 (RUT). I still hold R2K related ETFs (IWM, UWM).  It appears that the economy grew more than expected in the third quarter, that is, should you chose to believe the data. What I am seeing from macro-economic data […]

The trade: Apple and Facebook into year-end

Here are some of the questions from this week’s Live Q&A chat from TradingWithCody.com along with a few emailed questions from Marketwatch The Cody Word readers. Join me next Wednesday at 2pm EST at TradingWithCody.com/chat or send me an email with your question at support@tradingwithcody.com. Q. Hello Cody, I am a big Apple fan, as well as […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 29, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Wednesday’s session played out as a mirror image of Tuesday’s action. The beige book for the most part was benign.  Positive vibes came out of Washington DC from President Obama, Speaker Boehner and Goldman Sach’s (GS) Lloyd Blankfein. It seems that only in the Senate is the leadership holding to extreme party lines. That might […]

How to trade the fiscal cliff

The churn continues. Senator Donkey says the fiscal cliff talks are going pretty well. Markets up a bunch. Congressman Elephant says he’s not encouraged by the fiscal cliff talks. Markets down a bunch. Sure is starting to feel a lot like a fast-motion version of the playbook we have used so successfully for the last […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

MarketTakePic

Here’s my take on the markets today, November 28th, 2012. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mostly deteriorating today. The TED Spread is down -4.8% to 21.9 bps. The Italy sovereign cds is down -2.9% to 247.5 bps. The Spain 10Y Yld is down -3.5% to 5.33%. […]

Stocks Ride The Political Roller Coaster

Yesterday the market was rallying on perceptions that progress was being made on the fiscal cliff.  Then Harry Reid came on tv and said the sides are still far apart.  That caused a market swoon right away.  This morning the markets opened very weak but then Boehner spoke with more comments about being flexible on […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 28, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Some positive economic data points and a well received $5 billion takeover of Ralcorp (RAH) by Conagra (CAG) kept the market in check for most of the day. Some afternoon comments by Senate Majority leader Harry Reid about the fiscal cliff negotiations put a damper into the market. Yet, when the dust cleared, the Dow […]

Was Sandy a mini black swan?

I gave a 50 minute speech to the Philadelphia Institute of Internal Auditors last Tuesday. I was probably more nervous about giving a speech to 600+ internal auditors than I was doing any national TV show. Out of my element, I guess. I talked about how no amount of quantitative easing, targeted tax tricks, subsidies […]

Do Stocks Have Any Gas Left In The Tank?

The market is mixed to lower in early trading, with the first early dip attracting buyers.  Yesterday the S&P 500 was down as much as 12 points but rallied back late in the day to close down only 3 points.  That’s not too much of a give back following the outsized gains from Thanksgiving week.  […]

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