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Weekly Sector Update – IYK ($)


This week’s sector highlight is the iShares Dow Jones US Consumer Goods ETF, IYK. The spotlight is a little dim, since Felix is not enthusiastic about any sector.  It is the best of a bad lot.  Some of the strength in IYK may reflect the surprising rebound in consumer confidence.  We often notice that the […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, February 28th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mixed today. The TED Spread is down -2.7% to 18.1 bps(+11.6% in 5 days). The Germany sovereign cds is down -1.4% to 39.68 bps. The UK sovereign cds is down -2.65% […]

Google, Apple and the tech revolution are just getting started

It’s tough to remember how Apple developed into a company that is one of the most valuable in the world and one that right now makes more money in a given quarter than any but a handful of companies in history. Before the iPhone or iPad were even in pre-production, you could see that the […]

GDP Gets Slight Bump In Latest Revision

Markets are mixed to higher in early trading.  The second estimate of Q4 GDP was raised from its original estimate of -0.1% to a small gain of +0.1%.  The boost came from an upward revision to real final sales which was revised to a gain of 1.7% from 1.1% previously. Also, the Chicago PMI for […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, February 28, 2013 ($$)


It was a very busy day at the annual Seton Hall Stillman School of Business Colloquium. I want to thank everyone who participated and attended the event. This year we set a record for attendance. There were a few takeaways from the colloquium that are worth mentioning to those of you who missed it. First, […]

Let the Fed be Your Investment Partner

Why have so many TV “experts” been so wrong about the market? Many blame government. This demonstrates that they fail to include the government factor in their forecasts. The recessionistas asserted that economic decline was inevitable. Investors were assaulted with negative stories. This included multiple TV appearances by the ECRI and weekly columns from Hussman […]

How to trade this crab-stuffed-oyster stock market

Good morning and welcome back to the diner, where you better stick with the stuff on the first couple of pages of the encyclopedia-length menu that includes things like crab-stuffed oysters. There’s a time and place for everything, see? And the time and place for crab-stuffed oysters isn’t at the 96th Street Diner where I […]

Stocks Rally On Solid Economic Data

The market is higher for a second day after bouncing from Monday’s large selloff.  This morning investors got some good news in the form of solid economic data.  And Bernanke continues to testify before Congress in Day 2 of his bi-annual testimony. The first economic report was durable goods.  The headline figure showed a decrease […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, February 26th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are deteriorating meaningfully again today. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is down -5.9% to -21.28 bps(-22.9% in 5 days). The 2Y Swap Spread is gaining +2.1% to 14.71 bps. The TED […]

Housing Data Remains Strong

The markets opened higher this morning on the heels of some solid economic data and also an attempt to bounce from yesterday’s late day selloff. The December Case-Shiller Home Price Index rose 6.8%, on top of last month’s 5.5% gain.  Additionally, new home sales for January rose to 437,000 from December’s pace of 378,000.  This […]

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