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Yields Rise On Stronger Economic Data

The markets are nicely higher in early trading after a handful of better than expected economic reports as well as some positive reactions to more earnings reports. In economic news, Q2 GDP grew +1.7%, above estimates of 1.1% growth.  Also, the ADP Employment Report showed the private sector added 200k jobs in July, which was […]

Russia Upsets The Potash Cart

The market is a bit higher this morning after yesterday’s mild pullback.  The big dislocation in the markets today is in the potash market, which is an agricultural fertilizer product.  Russia’s OAO Uralkali withdrew from the potash cartel and that has the stocks of the other players reeling.  POT and MOS are taking it on […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, July 30, 2013

Yesterday’s session was mundane to say the least. Yet, when the dust settled, the broad markets closed slightly in the red. Today is set to be action packed on several front. First, the customary flow of earnings reports will take place before and after the market closes. Early today, Pfizer (PFE) reported a lackluster quarter. […]

It’s the Super Bowl of earnings

I have a conundrum: I am a huge NFL fan, but, as you may know, I can’t stand the idea of oligarchic team owners getting taxpayer assistance with their stadiums and their unbelievable not-for-profit (!) status, which enables them to pay these ridiculous $20 million-a-year salaries for guys who play a game for a few […]

Monday Morning Musings

The markets are a bit lower this morning, but as we have seen recently dip buyers seem to be lurking everywhere.  Friday looked like we were going to see the markets have a decent pullback but dip buyers emerged and the markets climbed all they way back to finish positive. Earnings season winds down a […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, July 29, 2013

The streak of moderate movement for the S&P 500 (SPX) in which the index has risen or fallen less than nine points was extended to eleven trading sessions on Friday. That index is now within a few points of its all-time closing high set earlier in July and about ½% within the round level of […]

Indicator Update: Preparing for Action!

In last week’s prediction for the week ahead I guessed that it would be “all about earnings. From a market perspective that was mostly accurate despite some competing stories: charges against SAC Capital, fresh speculation about the new Fed Chair, and the arrival of Prince George. This week will be quite different with three distinct […]

What isn’t news, but should be

Let’s do a must-read weekend link-fest. But, before we do, let’s think about this. You know what’s not news right now? The euro-debt crisis, which isn’t solved yet. The emergency subsidies and outsized profits based on profiteering and building imbalances in our nation’s economy, which isn’t being addressed at all and never will be til […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, July 26th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mixed today.  The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is rising +6.4% to -8.81 bps. The North America Investment Grade CDS Index is falling -2.0% to 75.06 bps. The European Investment Grade […]

Is Japan Hinting At Its Own ‘Tapering’?

Markets are lower this morning, continuing this week’s choppy correction that has been somewhat modest compared with past pullbacks from overbought levels. Earnings reports continue to roll in.  A standout on the upside last night was Starbucks, which posted a surprising 9% increase in same-store sales.  On the downside is Expedia, which is down -25% […]

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