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Starbucks reports after the bell tonight

Starbucks is scheduled to report their fiscal q4 earnings after the market closes tonight, with consensus analyst expectations looking for $0.36 in eps, on $2.948 bl in revenues for expected year-over-growth of -3% in eps on 4% revenue growth. If consensus is met for fiscal 2011, ended 9/30, SBUX will have grown revenues 8.5% and […]

Fedex's Fred Smith on CNBC

Fred Smith was just on CNBC talking about volume and shipments from Asia, which were consistent with their August quarter call in September (i.e. some volume slowdown seen from Asia). One thing he did say was that the Christmas expectations have been tempered by retailers and the recent econ data, and that the holiday shipments […]

Another ugly close – what's up with Alcoa ?

I wondered today if Alcoa (ticker AA) was confused with American Airlines today as i saw on numerous wires today that “AA was facing bankruptcy” using American Airlines initials, rather thanĀ American Air’s stock tickerĀ in the headlines. (Hopefully no one trading more than a day is that stupid, but volume was heavy in the alumina smelter […]

Walgreen's reports tomorrow morning pre-open

Walgreen’s reports their fiscal 4th quarter before the open on Tuesday morning, 9/27 and analysts expect $0.55 per share on $17.9 bl in revenue for expected year-over-year growth of 12% in eps and 6% in revenues. WAG had a tough report as the ESRX deal has taken some shine off the stock and WAG looks […]

FDX's cheap valuation, but economy is key

Transport’s fell 9% last week, with a decline in the S&P 500 of 6% with a big part of the Transport drop due to Fed-Ex’s report on Thursday, which took the stock down about 8% on the day. After reviewing the numbers, while Express volumes were soft, the star of the quarter was yields, which […]

Quarter end next week – trade update

From the technicians i follow and know and trust, the 1,125 – 1,135 area is important support for the S&P 500 and thus if we can hold above this level for the weekly close, and with the all-important quarter end next week, i would think the bias for the equity market should be to the […]

FedEx – testing the July '11 lows

FedEX reported earnings this morning that beat on revenues (somewhat surprisingly) but the tempered guidance is getting all the press, despite the fact FDX didnt lower thier fiscal 2012 guidance all that much. We havent yet posted the numbers or updated our FDX spreadsheet so we will reserve further comment for the next few days. […]

Best Buy – a "show me" stock

Best Buy will report Tuesday before the bell, and analysts expect $0.53 in eps ( a decline y/y of 12%) and $11.5 bl in revenues (for 1% y/y growth). The stock is incredibly cheap at 0.18(x) market cap to 4-quarter trailing sales, less than 4(x) 4-quarter trailing cash-flow, and a 13% free-cash-flow-yield. BBY’s problem is […]

Semi's (and i dont mean the truck)

Texas Instruments updates after the close tonight, while National Semi reports after the close as well. Altera reported after the bell Tuesday, lowered guidance, and yet the stock finished higher yesterday. Semi’s have always been a tough group to trade, but coming into q4, for those looking for some portfolio beta, semi’s are a good […]

Operating earnings for the S&P 500

We have to sound like a broken record to our clients as we’ve repeatedly made the case that forward operating earnings estimate sfor the S&P 500 continue to be stable to higher, despuite the negative headlines “macro risks”, and therein lies the problem: p/e compression is a natural function of a bear market, so even […]

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