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Indicator Update: Springtime optimism ahead?

Some weeks feature a contrast between past and future — a possible inflection point. Here are the current elements: Important economic data with a forward look; Earnings news from major companies reporting on Q114; Corporate conference calls explaining the outlook for future earnings; and finally Economic implications for improved economic growth and business conditions worldwide. […]

Weekly Sector Update – ILF ($)

TCA-ETF Felix EXPANDED APR 16, 2014

ILF is iShares Latin America 40 ETF. ILF was positioned in the number two position last week and in the penalty box. This week it is number one and out of the penalty box — a very nice move. Investor Take ILF has a P/E ratio of 20.55 and a yield of 3.36%. This is a good way […]

Indicator Update: More Volatility Ahead!

This week brings the makings of an explosive volatility cocktail: Important economic data; Key Q1 earnings reports; Options expiration; A short trading week; and An edgy market environment. This is a very unusual combination, and the various elements will compete for attention. Prior Theme Recap Last week I expected the theme to test the divergence […]

Weekly Sector Update – KOL ($)

TCA-ETF Felix EXPANDED APR 09, 2014

KOL is VanEck’s Market Vectors®  Global Coal Index fund. It is the top-rated ETF not in the penalty box. Last week’s FXI is still holding the top spot, but is still also holding in the penalty box. Investor Take KOL has a P/E ratio of 13.63 and a yield of 2.41%. The top ten holdings hold over half of […]

Indicator Update: Fluff or Fundamentals?

Sometimes markets emphasize simple themes, rejecting even modest efforts at nuance. The current big stories are the record highs in stocks, the length of time since the last significant correction, and the “market is rigged” meme. These themes are all easily grasped and interesting media fodder. It has set the agenda. Meanwhile, the economy seems […]

Weekly Sector Update – FXI ($)

TCA-ETF Felix EXPANDED APR 02, 2014

FXI is iShares China Large-Cap ETF. FXI is the top-rated ETF by Felix. It has an incredibly high rating of 105. It is incredible considering last week, FXI had a strength of 1! Unfortunately, it is still in the penalty box. China’s releasing a “mini-stimulus”, we are curious how this will affect the US economy and markets. Felix is […]

How to handle a big gain

Here is a happy problem: You have a large instant gain from one of your stocks. What should you do? The topic comes from an actual question raised at Scutify.com, where participants exchange ideas and get a wide range of opinions. (I get to play the role of the straight man in a world of […]

Weekly Sector Update – IAT ($)

TCA-ETF Felix EXPANDED MAR 26, 2014

IAT is iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF. Felix has ranked it number 8, but the top pick for Felix that is out of the penalty box. Banking has been on the rise for the past month. Investor Take IAT has a P/E ratio of 28.06 and a yield of 1.75%. There is plenty of concentration in the […]

Weekly Sector Update – $EVX

TCA-ETF Felix EXPANDED MAR 19, 2014

EVX is VanEck’s Environmental Services ETF. It is Felix’s top pick this week and as a bonus it is not in the penalty box, similar to last week’s IYM. Felix is quite bleak this week. His only excuse is that the results are as of yesterday’s run and he hasn’t had the sweet scent of […]

Indicator Update: Yellen Takes the Stage

Rightly or wrongly, markets continue the Fed fixation. Many expect (or demand?) a change in Fed policy. This week marks the first FOMC meeting with Janet Yellen as the Chair. Since there will also be an update to forecasts, the announcement will include a press conference. With some fresh data and plenty of news since […]

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