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Tecnically Correct, But Risky Anyway

The talking heads contend stocks are reasonably valued or even cheap. Heck, Bubbles Bernanke just said they were within the normal range of valuations when asked about bubbles. He wouldn’t recognize a bubble if it blew him in a back alley. Technically, those contending stocks are normally priced at 16x’s are correct. But that’s the […]

Annoyed

I got really annoyed watching the Bernanke farewell interview yesterday. They just don’t get it. Who is they? That would be both the central bankers and the financial press. No one gets it. Now I am just a rube from a blue collar K&A section of Philly with no special training in economics. All these […]

This Market is Not Cheap

I am interested in the right numbers. Dismissing price/GDP might be correct or not. We don’t buy shares in GDP. It doesn’t mean that GDP is completely irrelevant though. I use price to actual sales and net margins on actual sales to judge valuation and profitability. So dismissing market cap/GDP is not a victory for […]

Exposed

So the tide of free money is tabled to go out and the bull market geniuses are caught with their bathing suits down, exposed. And we see who is long and who is short. We have the levered bond bulls (one trade wonders) getting killed, the perma-bull equity guys taking hits but still profitable, the […]

Macro? We Dont Need No Stinkin Macro

Macro_20130516_ECo

For the past few months, much of the economic data coming out has been sloppy, downright negative some would say. So would the Bloomberg Economic surprise index. But who cares about economic data anymore. We went from being a manufacturing economy to a service economy to an asset speculation supported economy or ASSE. And in this […]

Whiners and Liars Hosed With Job Revisions, Free Market Hypocrites Out in Force

In my column titled Bull Market in Disingenuity, I challenged the whiners and liars who were misusing the so called disastrous March jobs data. I stated that with the revisions in that month, the job number wasn’t that bad, and that with the trend of revisions being positive, it was likely that March would come […]

Ultraprofits in Ultracapacitors

For those who haven’t connected the dots, my “not coffee, but good from the last drop” trade is Maxwell Technologies (MXWL is ticker). They just reported blowout numbers, we think. See the company is in process of restatement and can only do “limited financials” till complete restatement is done. The company makes ultra capacitors, used […]

The IBM Tell and Broken Rally Fever

Well, for the most part, earnings are being treated as disappointing. Today alone its IBM, GE, and MCD all selling down after quarterly results. IBM in particularly was a huge ugly revenue miss. For a long time, IBM has been a no organic revenue growth, cost cutting and share repurchase story. Yup, a no growth […]

Not buying Apple yet

I did not purchase apple yet. After reviewing chart, I set a new, lower bottom fishing price target which is $350ish. I expect a disastrous quarter, a massacre if you will, of the stock on its 4th consecutive earnings miss. When the sell side capitulates with a final estimate crap out, and the stock is […]

Intel a Value Trap?

Regarding Intel, I find it hard to sell this stock at such a low valuation just as a big, new innovation cycle is beginning in notebooks and hybrids. Some of the PC decline was postponement of purchases as a complete new breed of PC is emerging for consumers. Enterprise PC sales were much better. Conventional […]

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