My Gut Feeling for Today, May 23, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

What began like a strong session ended up in disappointment for the bulls. In what started as a celebration of Chairman Bernanke’s testimony ended in shock and disbelief. Why the equity market is shocked that ending or tapering off of quantitative debt purchases by the Federal Reserve is not inevitable is really beyond me.  What [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 22, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

The equity market’s gradual ascent continues. The JP Morgan (JPM) annual meeting resulted in maintaining Jamie Dimon in the positions of CEO and President. Apple’s (AAPL) Tim Cook got grilled by US Senators but all that we heard was what we already knew – if the US reduced its rates then Apple would repatriate cash. [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 21, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

I have taken off two days for my civic duty (on jury duty), two days for faith (Shavuot) and two days for family (graduation at Boston Univ. Law School) and (Seton Hall Nursing School). My wife, a BU Law grad presented our son with his diploma. As a member of the SHU faculty, I was [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 10, 2013

crystalball

We got that picture perfect pullback yesterday, breaking the S&P 500 (SPX) winning streak without inflicting more than a flesh wound. The bulls even managed to push us into the green temporarily but I think they really just took the day off. After hours Priceline.com (PCLN) pulled off its usual quarterly report – outperform for [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 9, 2013

crystalball

I am back from my travels which took me north and then south and east. I can tell you that the consumer is out in full force, wherever I went. The impact of the payroll tax increase was fleeting and offset, at least psychologically, by the decline in energy prices. I get to stay at [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 3, 2013

crystalball

Today the Bureau of Labor Statistics will reveal it much anticipated April jobs report. However, as we can already glean from the last two weeks’ weekly unemployment claims releases, that April data may not only be stale but will be underwhelming. Expect a disappointing report today, likely received with a knee jerk Pavlovian trader response. [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 2, 2013

crystalball

Yesterday was one of those days when the stock market was the dog and the bond market was the tail. Apple’s (AAPL) huge $17 billion bond sale on Monday, which was highly oversubscribed and successful had to find a source for cash. It was from stocks. Yesterday the bond market rose – before and after [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 1, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

Welcome to May Day comrade. If you believe in the socialist way of life, then you need not read further. Frankly, for me May Day is just a day in between my birthday and Cinco De Mayo. I already have my beer, chips, salsa and guacamole ready for that event. Until then I will snack [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 30, 2013

crystalball

The markets in what was an uncharacteristic Monday rose early and held those gains for the day. When the bell range, the S&P 500 (SPX) closed at an all-time high. Three-twenty-nine. I am not referring to a time of day. I am not referring to a date. I am not referring to an address. Nor [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 29, 2013

Italy has a government. How I sweated out the last few weeks worrying about whether one would be put together is really amazing. I hear that the over /under market is now being made by the Las Vegas sports books as to how long that government will last. All kidding aside, the certainty of a [...]