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The Expensive Fixation on Profit Margins

The insightful investor understands mean reversion. It is a mystery concept for most – fancy talk. I will attempt a commonsense explanation with some relevant examples. In conclusion, I will show why this is important. The Technical Definition Wolfram MathWorld is a great source on issues like this: Reversion to the mean, also called regression […]

Indicator Update: Will Earnings Growth Keep the Stock Rally Rolling?

If you could know one thing about stocks in the coming year, it would be what to expect from corporate earnings. The Q4 2013 reports will provide a preview, with attention starting this week. Has the improvement in economic strength translated into higher corporate profits? Last Week Recap Last week I suggested that with the […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, October 11th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mostly improving again today. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is rising +8.3% to -7.73 bps. The TED Spread is declining -10.0% to 17.76 bps. The North America Investment Grade CDS […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, September 27th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are deteriorating today. The  3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is falling -6.9% to -6.5 bps. The Libor-OIS Spread is jumping +11.4% to 14.4 bps. The US sovereign cds is rising another +2.8% […]

Trading through Wall Street’s anti-Apple backlash

I’ve tested and used as a primary phone several versions of Android and every version of iPhone over the last five years since what I was probably the first to call the “Smartphone Revolution” and then the “App Revolution.” I’ve spent thousands of dollars on apps and games to help me stay on top of […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, September 13th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mostly deteriorating today. The FRA-OIS Spread is down -2.5% to 19.5 bps. The North America Investment Grade CDS Index is down -1.1% to 77.01 bps. The Germany sovereign cds is down […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, September 3rd, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mostly deteriorating today. The FRA-OIS Spread is down -3.7% to 19.5 bps. The Germany sovereign cds is down -1.5% to 28.0 bps. The Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread is down -1.6% to […]

Indicator Update: Expect more volatility, not clarity

Markets hate uncertainty, and last week delivered a super-sized portion! Do not expect much clarity in the week ahead. Last week I predicted that fear might beget more fear. Starting with Secretary of State Kerry’s Monday press conference the markets moved lower. Tuesday trading exacerbated the effect, and the market did not recover. Rarely has […]

Gary Smith’s Marklet Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, August 20th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mostly deteriorating again today. The North American Investment Grade CDS Index is down -2.6% to 82.04 bps(+9.0% in 5 days). The Brazil sovereign cds is down -2.2% to 204.35 bps(+15.3% in […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, August 14th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mostly deteriorating today. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is rising +1.9% to -8.72 bps. The FRA-OIS is falling -1.56% to 20.8 bps. The Germany sovereign cds is down -2.1% to […]

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