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My Gut Feeling for Today, July 15, 2013


After logging a seven day winning streak, with a total advance of 4.6%, there is a tendency to believe that the end of the recent July run is over. Historically, according to my data, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) will extend a seven day winning streak to eight days 56% of the time. However, that […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 12, 2013 ($$)


For the most part Monday played out as expected, a soft trading day. However, in the end, I was wrong in that we did not end mildly to the downside. Traders broke out their teeter-totters once again and the major indexes all closed to the upside with the S&P 500 (SPX) once again registering a […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 11, 2013 ($$)


I had a whirlwind week in Las Vegas which enabled me to gather plenty of important information on casinos, restaurants and consumers in general as well as have the opportunity to meet with individual investors. Let me give you the bottom line: Americans have cash in their pocket and they are spending it to travel, […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 29, 2012 ($)


Wednesday’s session played out as a mirror image of Tuesday’s action. The beige book for the most part was benign.  Positive vibes came out of Washington DC from President Obama, Speaker Boehner and Goldman Sach’s (GS) Lloyd Blankfein. It seems that only in the Senate is the leadership holding to extreme party lines. That might […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 27, 2012 ($)


After Friday’s strong advance, topping off a bullish week, the markets had a chance to catch their breath and rest a bit as the kick-off holiday weekend sales and analysis were absorbed. An early sell-off was bought and the markets ended mixed – larger cap indexes were lower while the tech and smaller cap index […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take


Here’s my take on the markets today, August 15, 2012. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mixed today. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is rising +8.5% to -32.0 bps. The Germany sovereign cds is falling -2.2% to 60.5 bps. The France sovereign cds is down -2.7% […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, July 12, 2012 ($)


Overnight futures took a hit as the South Korean central bank and Brazilian monetary policy board unexpectedly cut their base interest rates. Fears of a coordinated global slowdown are beginning to take form in reality rather than in theory. However, in the USA, we continue to see that growth continues at a mild pace. Chevron […]

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