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My Gut Feeling for Today, April 15, 2013 ($$)


Happy Patriot’s Day. Unless you are in New England, today is nothing more than Tax Day. That fact of course, may lead to many people writing some checks to Uncle Sam or their home states. As a result, the usual Monday sell-off could be a bit more intense as retail investors who have to fund […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 4, 2013 ($$)

I have said repeatedly that the one risk to the market rally would be an exogenous event. On Tuesday, the markets negated Monday’s declines and were prepared to continue their rally on Wednesday. Then all of a sudden we got saber rattling from Dr. Jong-Un Strangelove which set off the uncontrollable Pavlovian responses by the trade first think rationally second crowd. […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, April 2nd, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mostly improving today. The Libor-OIS Spread is falling -3.1% to 14.1 bps. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is rising +6.2% to -18.12 bps. The TED Spread is falling -8.8% to […]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, March 14th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mostly deteriorating today. The European Investment Grade CDS Index is falling -1.7% to 104.3 bps. The European Financial Sector CDS Index is down -2.4% to 141.8 bps. The Germany sovereign cds […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, February 11, 2013 ($$)


The S&P 500 (SPX) completed a sixth consecutive weekly advance. Will that continue for a seventh week? I don’t know and I don’t hope so. A pause would be welcome. What could cause that pause? Profit taking makes the most sense. Why not? Perhaps more tax talk from the President during his state of the […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, January 15, 2013 ($$)


Did I say that we have a teeter-totter market? A lower open could not be sustained by the bears and we popped up by the close. What will happen one day, and that might be soon, is that the markets will open higher and won’t relent, catching the non-believers off guard. Retail sales were received […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, January 14, 2013 ($$)


This is a teeter-totter market. As soon as the market goes down, it pops right back up. This market has all the earmarks of a major bull leg which is in formation. Stories out of Japan over the weekend cited sources saying that Apple (AAPL) has drastically cut back on its orders for iPhone 5 […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, January 4, 2013 ($$)


The trading day pretty much ended where it began yestrerday, slightly lower. However, it was an inside day. An inside day is one which trades within the prior trading day’s range. It is also a day which traded within the statistically normal range. In other words, it was a perfect day to digest recent gains. […]

My Gut Feeling for 2013 ($$)


  Happy New Year to all. 2012 was a year full of ups and down; elections; fiscal and budgetary issues around the globe; a Summer Olympics; and, a severe drought. Once again the major averages, except the Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) all posted double digit gains despite the protestations of the bears. To the surprise […]

10 Things I Will Not Miss About 2012

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Every year since 2002 I have closed out the year with my satirical look at the world through the eyes of a professional investor poking fun at what has transpired in our global society during the year we are about to turn the page on. You can access a complete list of all prior years’ […]

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