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My Gut Feeling for Today December 18, 2013

The only reason that I am writing to you today is that I failed to hit the Mega Millions lottery last evening. Some lucky tickets holders in Georgia and California had the winning tickets. Yesterday the market bent but did not break yet failed to deliver my anticipated positive follow through to Monday’s session. As […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 17, 2013

As expected, the markets opened on a strong note and then attracted some selling. Then for the rest of the session we pretty much flat lined. Buyers stepped up in the realization that: 1) selling pressure is weak and 2) the stock market is still cheap. The pullback, while less than I anticipated, nevertheless sent […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 16, 2013

The S&P 500 (SPX) heads into this week with two consecutive weekly declines. Peak to trough, the pullback is 2.28%, at the low end of my expected 2 – 4% retracement range. Thus, we might have a little more to go on the downside before serious investors step back in to buy. This week, Taper […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 12, 2013

A ceasefire on Capitol Hill resulted in a compromise budget agreement. The markets though were still preoccupied with FOMC tapering and sold off in a rather ugly session. It was clear that many market participants were in selling mode as many of this year’s big winners were victim to profit taking. As I mentioned a […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 10, 2013

Yesterday’s yawn fest will be followed by today’s snow day; the first of the 2013-14 winter season. On the calendar for today is final approval of the “Volker Rule.” However, that might get delayed as Washington DC is shut down for the winter storm. President Obama is in South Africa for the Mandela funeral, so […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 9, 2013

A year ago the market stood on a precipice overlooking the fiscal cliff. Not only did we not go over the cliff but Congress came to, literally, an eleventh hour agreement. That led us to the October government shutdown over the debt ceiling which lasted a few days, without any discernible economic impact. This week, […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 6, 2013

The S&P 500 (SPX) daily losing streak extended to five sessions. However the magnitude of the decline in the aggregate is rather mild. Yesterday, the small and mid-cap indexes closed in the green and show signs of bottoming. A dear old friend and fraternity bother emailed me asking whether the market had ever rallied more […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 5, 2013

You could hardly believe that the S&P 500 (SPX) has declined for four consecutive days. Another attempt at a sell-off of significance and breaking the bulls’ confidence was thwarted for the second consecutive day. It is quite apparent that the sellers lack ammunition and the buyers have deep pockets. So here we sit just over […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 4, 2013

Tuesday was pretty much that carbon copy of Monday for the markets that I expected. The sell-off, which never really got all that deep, bottomed at about 2:30 PM and by the close was rather mild. The media’s reason for the sell-off was continued fears of Federal Reserve tapering of its quantitative easing program. How […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 3, 2013

The markets followed the script I wrote yesterday, opening a bit higher and then sellers made their presence known, leading a mild bout of profit taking for the session. Interestingly, despite a slightly negative tape, transports rose and midcaps were flat for the session. The real damage was done to the small cap indexes such […]

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