Forced to play the game till the next crash

The cross currents in the markets and the economy and especially in the political world are swarming faster than ever. As always, it’s crucial to step back and get some perspective on what is dominating the headlines. Deciphering what matters from hype is one of the most important keys to staying in front of the [...]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, June 17th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mixed today. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is gaining +2.1% to -11.75 bps. The 2Y Swap Spread is falling -3.9% to 15.85 bps. The European Investment Grade CDS Index is [...]

Timing the market top

Here are the “Best of” from this week’s TradingWithCody’s Live Q&A Chat which I opened up to my Marketwatch readers and in which I got a ton of questions from you guys. Q. Nice bubble piece on Marketwatch today, Cody. How do you explain the recent pickup in volatility? A. As markets get toppy and [...]

How to know it’s a stock market bubble

Don’t forget this week’s Live Q&A Chat at 2pm EST at TradingWithCody.com/chat. I’m opening up this week’s chat for free to all my Marketwatch readers this week. Be there or be square. Speaking of being square, I don’t think the action in the gold and silver markets is “squaring” with the reality of actual prices [...]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, June 11th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are deteriorating meaningfully today. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is falling -2.3% to -12.75 bps. The European Investment Grade CDS Index is gaining +4.7% to 111.4 bps(+7.2% in 5 days). The [...]

It’s time to panic about Treasurys

Facebook’s popping and I’m sitting tight on it for now. A sellside analyst upgraded the stock and his report sounded almost as if he’s been reading Revolution Investing because it outlined many of our reasons for being long this stock. Those reasons, according to Jordan Rohan at Stifel Nikolas, whom I’ve known for many years, [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, June 10, 2013

crystalball

Goldilocks showed up at the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday and the three Bears ran for the woods after the May labor report was just right. This suggests, as was my gut feeling recently, that the stock market was taking a break as investors allowed the Fed tapering fears to deliver lower prices from [...]

Gary Smith’s Market Take

Here’s my take on the markets today, June 8th, 2013. If you’d like to read more of my articles, click here. Credit gauges are mixed today. The 3M EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap is rising +1.6% to -12.6 bps. The North America Investment Grade CDS Index is falling -2.8% to 81.52 bps. The European Investment Grade [...]

Weekly Sector Update – EVX ($)

TCA-ETF Felix EXPANDED JUN 05, 2013

This week Felix has made some major changes in the ratings, taking a liking to Van Eck’s Environmental Services ETF EVX. EVX has a strength of 27 (which in this market is relatively strong.) GEX still holds the top position (recently discussed here). Last week we featured IYG. This week’s ratings show a big shift [...]

My Gut Feeling for Today, June 5, 2013

crystalball

Tuesday’s session was more volatile than I expected but when the dust cleared, the decline was contained. However, Monday and Tuesday’s sessions were a warm-up comedian of sorts for the three day labor fest which is about to begin: the ADP (ADP) report today, weekly unemployment claims tomorrow, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly [...]