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My Gut Feeling for Today, June 21, 2013

I have two confessions to make. First, I did not watch the markets yesterday. Rather, I was watching an NSYNCH concert because it appeared that every asset class was move in synchronization. I could swear that was Joey Fatone on CNBC yesterday.Secondly, I have to admit that when charting out my expectations for yesterday’s market, […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 1, 2013 ($$)


The S&P 500 (SPX) went out on a high note as we waved farewell to the first quarter of 2013. As you can see from the table below, most of the major indexes advanced about 10-13%, with one glaring exception, the NASDAQ 100 (NDX). 3/31/2013  Quarter  Change DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS      14,578.54 11.25% NASDAQ 100 […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, January 9, 2013 ($$)


After reaching a multi-year high on Friday, the markets pulled back the past two days. Expect the broken clock call for the end of the “bull market” from the perma-bears pundits to resonate. I maintain that we have yet to really begin a secular bull. Just as we managed to recover from the tech crash […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, June 28, 2012 ($)


Get ready for an emotional roller coaster trading day. Overnight action was muted but slightly to the upside. However, we then got a New York Times (NYT) story which predicts that the JP Morgan (JPM) CIO trading loss may reach $9 billion. The company has yet to respond to this assertion by the newspaper. However, […]

Industry Ranks June 2012

My main industry model is illustrated in the graphic.  Green industries are cold.  Red industries are hot.  If you like to play momentum, look at the red zone, and ask the question, “Where are trends under-discounted?”  Price momentum tends to persist, but look for areas where it might be even better in the near term. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 23, 2012


It appears that even down days don’t seem that bad. However, we have been down three straight days so you have to respect that a pullback might be occurring. This means that you should have raised some cash or should raise some rather soon. At the very least you should halt any marginal speculative purchases. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 6, 2012


Monday’s action can be boiled down to a few takeaways: The Chinese reduced their growth target down to 7.5%. The big casualties were commodities and commodity related stocks. Been here done that before. A large seller materialized out of nowhere for Apple. It was reported that a 1,000,000 share block went up for sale. Traders […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 5, 2012


I was interviewed by Investor Business Daily on Friday. The topic of the conversation was causation of the recent run up in crude oil prices. I provided several reasons which have all concurrently contributed to the spike in prices. All of these reasons can and have lead to unbridled speculation and hoarding in the commodity: […]

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