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My Gut Feeling for Today, May 3, 2013

crystalball

Today the Bureau of Labor Statistics will reveal it much anticipated April jobs report. However, as we can already glean from the last two weeks’ weekly unemployment claims releases, that April data may not only be stale but will be underwhelming. Expect a disappointing report today, likely received with a knee jerk Pavlovian trader response. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 19, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

I am travelling today but delayed my departure a few hours due to the goings on in Boston. Boston is under lockdown after a shooting which resulted in the death of an MIT security officer. Also dead is one of the two Chechen brother terrorists. The other one is still on the run but might […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 18, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

The markets came into Wednesday’s session poised to decline. However, ricin laced letters were received in Washington, bomb squads were dispatched in Washington as well and a courthouse was evacuated in Boston. These events just added to the fear that has gripped the nation over the past few days. As a result, the market took […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, January 23, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

I know I might sound like a broken record but there is simply no serious selling taking place and the cash flowing into the equity market is just overwhelming the sellers. The S&P 500 has a date with 1,500 this week, perhaps even today. After the market closed yesterday earnings from International Business Machines (IBM) […]

The Worst-Run Company List of 2012

Ever since October 2006, I have published my list of Worst Run Companies. The list is reevaluated every year, burying those that have disappeared, excusing those that have improved and selecting new members for inclusion. Due to the unfortunate effects of Super Storm Sandy, I have delayed publishing this year’s list up until today. Here […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, December 4, 2012 ($)

While we opened on the highs of the day and closed on the lows, the advance/decline was nothing of great concern. We closed as if someone had some “information” to trade on. Indeed, after the market closed, Republican law makers delivered a fiscal cliff counter proposal. It was not earth shattering news. We now have […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, October 17, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Tuesday transpired like the script I set forth. We got a solid follow through to Monday’s rally and ended on the highs of the session. Joining the party were material and metals stocks. Financials sent mixed messages off of a negative earnings response for Goldman Sachs (GS) and a positive reaction to the management changes […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, October 16, 2012 ($)

crystalball

We had a textbook bullish day yesterday. A strong open got sold and we closed on the highs. Apple (AAPL) did a loop-d-loop and ended at its highs. Financials put in a strong session. The only major weakness came from mining and materials. On tap today are a slew of earnings from pre-market to after-the-close. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, September 24, 2012 ($)

crystalball

We survived the ultra mega multi quarterly derivative expiration without any major dislocations. The hangover this morning is likely to be mild to non-existent. Overall the markets were slightly lower but virtually unchanged last week. Today’s news is some of the old European and Chinese stories that are getting dug up on an otherwise slow […]

Industry Ranks June 2012

My main industry model is illustrated in the graphic.  Green industries are cold.  Red industries are hot.  If you like to play momentum, look at the red zone, and ask the question, “Where are trends under-discounted?”  Price momentum tends to persist, but look for areas where it might be even better in the near term. […]

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