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My Gut Feeling for Today December 5, 2013

You could hardly believe that the S&P 500 (SPX) has declined for four consecutive days. Another attempt at a sell-off of significance and breaking the bulls’ confidence was thwarted for the second consecutive day. It is quite apparent that the sellers lack ammunition and the buyers have deep pockets. So here we sit just over […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 4, 2013

Tuesday was pretty much that carbon copy of Monday for the markets that I expected. The sell-off, which never really got all that deep, bottomed at about 2:30 PM and by the close was rather mild. The media’s reason for the sell-off was continued fears of Federal Reserve tapering of its quantitative easing program. How […]

My Gut Feeling for Today November 27, 2013

It was as I expected a light volume affair yesterday in which the indexes traded in a tight range, closing with very little movement. The NASDAQ Composite Index (IXIC) did manage to close above 4,000 for the first time since the tech bubble slid from its old all-time high. As there was some positive weekly […]

My Gut Feeling for Today October 8, 2013

Yesterday I was just feeling lousy and gave myself some extra sleep time (that is till 9AM) and did not feel up to penning a Gut Felling. As it turned out, the market seemed a bit sick in the stomach also. The Washington Follies continued over the weekend as partisan rancor was in full force […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, September 12, 2013

The customary sell-on-the-news reaction to an Apple (AAPL) product announcement could not prevent the S&P 500 (SPX) from advancing for a seventh straight session. According to my database and calculations, the SPX has had on average four streaks of seven or more days per year for the large cap index. Furthermore, there is a 55.6% […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, September 9, 2013

crystalball

As expected, after a return of the Wall Street players on Tuesday after Labor Day, Wednesday began a second period of vacation as the Jewish New Year began and ran through sundown on Friday. Thursday and Friday’s session was, despite the monthly labor report on Friday, two very slow days. Today, we wake up to […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, September 3, 2013

Welcome to September. Now that August is over and done, the front line players are back at their desks and in front of their screens. The markets are poised to rise today on strong overseas markets on Monday and Tuesday. We also woke up to a series of important deals: Microsoft (MSFT) buying Nokia’s (NOK) mobile […]

Distinguishing Risk from Fear

Understanding risk is the most important part of investing. Distinguishing risk from fear is a crucial to this knowledge. In my regular commentary I emphasize the difference in time frames between traders and investors. The trader is making a short-term forecast, booking gains and losses on an hourly, daily, or weekly basis. The trader is […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, August 5, 2013

crystalball

Well we got past the bulk of earnings, an FOMC meeting and the July labor report. So what do we have to look forward to? I don’t know about you but for me it is the racing season at Saratoga. Beginning yesterday, the annual trek to The Spa began for friends and clients with whom […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, July 24, 2013

crystalball

In 1959, Mickey Mantle, arguably one of the greatest baseball players ever, had for him a lousy season. That year he failed to hit .300 (he hit .285), walked less than 100 times, drove in 75 runs and only hit 31 homeruns. In 2013 a player with those statistics would get paid $15 million a […]

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