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My Gut Feeling for Today November 14, 2013

I was quite surprised by the magnitude of yesterday’s market move. However, it appears that the transcript for Federal Reserve Chairperson nominee Janet Yellen’s testimony was leaked early to the press. I expect her reluctance to remove monetary accommodation as early as the market feared will spill over in a positive way to the stock […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, August 21, 2013

Home Depot (HD) and Best Buy (BBY) confirmed my hypothesis that consumers have shifted their discretionary spending from clothing and other stuff to more durable and high ticket items such as those housing related. This is a cycle within a cycle and should begin to dissipate and then reverse once we get closer to the […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 21, 2013

crystalball

I have taken off two days for my civic duty (on jury duty), two days for faith (Shavuot) and two days for family (graduation at Boston Univ. Law School) and (Seton Hall Nursing School). My wife, a BU Law grad presented our son with his diploma. As a member of the SHU faculty, I was […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 21, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Yesterday played out just like I expected, a rope-a-dope session except for the little dip ad rally after the Bernanke speech. My intra-day audible that the markets would close flat after the dip also turned out to be correct. As for today, I am expecting pretty much the same, without the dip and rally. There […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, Aug 6, 2012 ($)

After an emotionally charged week of global central bank and economic news, we might get a nice week to rest and enjoy the summer weather. Coming out of that week global markets are setting up for some upward bias which I expect to be accentuated by a shift of assets out of fixed income into […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, June 29, 2012 ($)

crystalball

This messy ugly quarter is finally over at 4pm. However, it will be a fun day as we have plenty of headline news to trade off of coming out of Europe. Here is my take. I watch the action on my Bloomberg all night long. After the sharp intraday rally post-Obamacare sell-off, the futures trended […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, June 27, 2012 ($)

crystalball

We wake up to slightly higher futures but not of the magnitude that will really matter once the markets open. So, I will call it a flat looking open. We also wake up to several important bits of news. Stockton, California is expected to file for Chapter 9 bankruptcy. This will be the nation’s largest […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 22, 2012 ($)

crystalball

The equity markets put in an excellent day on Monday. However, in no uncertain terms, we need some follow through. That would require a strong Tuesday session or a flattish Tuesday followed by a lift on Wednesday. Any significant pullback on Tuesday would nullify Monday’s cheer. What I found impressive on Monday was that the […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 29, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Spain rained on the bulls’ parade yesterday. However, the media was putting focus on the durable goods report as the source of the market weakness. Anyone who has been involved in the markets for a prolonged period of time would know that the durable goods report is an erratic, volatile and unpredictable data series. It […]

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