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After the Fed — Themes for Investors

In the midst of the noise, much of it political and therefore unhelpful for investors, here are the three most important things to know. None of these is widely understood, so those who get the message first will have an advantage. Everyone is starting to talk about stock prices as a multiple of 2014 earnings. […]

Distinguishing Risk from Fear

Understanding risk is the most important part of investing. Distinguishing risk from fear is a crucial to this knowledge. In my regular commentary I emphasize the difference in time frames between traders and investors. The trader is making a short-term forecast, booking gains and losses on an hourly, daily, or weekly basis. The trader is […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, August 13, 2013

It is officially a Seinfeld market. We have a market about nothing. Not that there’s anything wrong about that. You just need to ask yourself if you are Jerry, Elaine, George or (Cosmo) Kramer. China appears to be springing back to life. I remain on the record as saying that Chinese economic activity is managed […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 10, 2013 ($$)

I returned last evening from my trip to the Land of Dixie for what had to be the most exciting NCAA Men’s Basketball Final 4 ever. The southern hospitality was fantastic as well. You can see some of my pictures on Facebook (FB). While the Championship game might have not been the best of all time, […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 15, 2013 ($$)

It was yet another record day for the Dow Jones Industrials (DJI) as the S&P 500 (SPX) moved ever closer to its all-time high. I believe that all-time high will be breached and a new record will be set today. The air continues to come out of the bond market despite the strong US dollar. […]

Let the Fed be Your Investment Partner

Why have so many TV “experts” been so wrong about the market? Many blame government. This demonstrates that they fail to include the government factor in their forecasts. The recessionistas asserted that economic decline was inevitable. Investors were assaulted with negative stories. This included multiple TV appearances by the ECRI and weekly columns from Hussman […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, February 22, 2013 ($$)


When markets pull back around the globe, they usually turn in the US. That happened again yesterday in the mid-afternoon. From peak to trough, the S&P 500 (SPX) declined about 2.2% and then began to rebound. This morning, off the back of: Hewlett Packard (HPQ) earnings; positive economic news out of Germany; and, yet another […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, January 30, 2013 ($$)


Tuesday’s session turned out to be a pause that refreshed as the markets continued their slow but steady ascent. However, small caps and techs went along for the ride quite grudgingly. As I suspected, Ford (F) reported a better than expected quarter but the stock still fell. As I am putting capital into industrials, F […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, January 29, 2013 ($$)

So on the ninth day the streak ended. The streak that is, and not the rally. I read an interesting piece by Jeff Saut of Raymond James (RJF) who, applying his own set of statistics and technical indicators, laid out a very cogent theory that the rally was far from over and that through Friday, […]

Jeff Miller’s Picks for 2013 ($$)

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Editors Note: In the tradition of the old Wall Street Week with Louis Ruykeyser, we have asked our All-Stars to provide us with thier S&P 500 (SPX) targets for 2013 (high, low and close if possible), their top 5 stock picks for 2013 and take a look back at their best pick of 2012.  S&P […]

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