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My Gut Feeling for Today, April 30, 2013

crystalball

The markets in what was an uncharacteristic Monday rose early and held those gains for the day. When the bell range, the S&P 500 (SPX) closed at an all-time high. Three-twenty-nine. I am not referring to a time of day. I am not referring to a date. I am not referring to an address. Nor […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, July 11, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Welcome to the season. I am not talking about earnings season, rather the summer trading season. Volume will be light, moves will be exaggerated, false news will be easily spread and vacations will leave junior staff in charge. Yesterday was a prime example of this type of market environment. We had several directional changes in […]

February Employment Report Preview

Options traders distinguish between actual volatility, recorded and measured from data, and implied volatility.  The latter term comes from solving the options models using price and the various known inputs.  Typically volatility is the only input term that must be estimated.  High implied volatility means that traders of options are incorporating uncertainty in their estimates.  […]

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