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My Gut Feeling for Today November 19, 2013

The problem with round numbers for indexes is that traders know the emotional significance on the part of retail investors and the media’s coverage of such events. As a result, those traders lean on the round numbers like S&P 500 (SPX) 1,800 and Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) 16,000 and sell or short the market. However, […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 29, 2013

The markets performed exactly as the playbooks expected. For the 20th consecutive Tuesday, the markets rallied. After a strong open of greater than 1% for the S&P 500, as my 1% Trading Rule predicted, the markets declined after 10:30 AM. A new all-time high was posted by the Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA). We wake up […]

My Gut Feeling for 2013 ($$)

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  Happy New Year to all. 2012 was a year full of ups and down; elections; fiscal and budgetary issues around the globe; a Summer Olympics; and, a severe drought. Once again the major averages, except the Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) all posted double digit gains despite the protestations of the bears. To the surprise […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, December 6, 2012 ($)

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If your portfolio consisted solely of Apple (AAPL) -6.43% and Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX) -15.99% stock you got taken to the woodshed yesterday. If your portfolio was exclusively in the options of both stocks, particularly short dated varieties, you were devastated. If you have a diversified portfolio containing both stocks, you underperformed but […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 28, 2012 ($)

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Some positive economic data points and a well received $5 billion takeover of Ralcorp (RAH) by Conagra (CAG) kept the market in check for most of the day. Some afternoon comments by Senate Majority leader Harry Reid about the fiscal cliff negotiations put a damper into the market. Yet, when the dust cleared, the Dow […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 19, 2012 ($)

Here you go; I am going to say it. A bottom was put in on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) closed 0.94% off the lows; The S&P 500 (SPX) closed 1.23% off the lows; the NASDAQ Composite (IXIC) closed 1.52% off the lows; and, the Russell 2000 (RUT) closed 1.67% off the lows. All […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, October 24, 2012 ($)

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The bears got their gumption up yesterday, thanks for the most part not from US earnings but from more rumors swirling out of Europe, particularly Spain. While the markets finished well off their lows, the last half hour was disappointing for the bulls as they were unable to maintain the intraday rebound Source: Telemet Orion […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, October 18, 2012 ($)

crystalball

The Bears tried to pull us back midday and frankly that was a welcome development. They just could not close the deal. That should come as no surprise. To use a baseball analogy, the Bears are scratching out singles while they are down by 16 runs in the bottom of the 8th. The Bulls have […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, October 17, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Tuesday transpired like the script I set forth. We got a solid follow through to Monday‚Äôs rally and ended on the highs of the session. Joining the party were material and metals stocks. Financials sent mixed messages off of a negative earnings response for Goldman Sachs (GS) and a positive reaction to the management changes […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, August 16, 2012 ($)

On the surface it was another sleepy August day. If you looked closer, there were some interesting stories to tell. To begin with, the Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) declined while the NASDAQ rose nicely and the Russell 2000 (RUT) rocketed up nearly 1%. This confirms one of my theories that the run in dividend stocks […]


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