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My Gut Feeling for Today October 23, 2013

Earnings continued to come in like election returns on election night. We are seeing positive and strong results from the cyclical and industrial sector stocks such as Delta Airiline (DAL), Freeport McMoRan (FCX) and Lockheed Martin (LMT). Although early this morning, Caterpillar (CAT) once again disclosed that company’s struggles and looks to head much lower […]

After the Fed — Themes for Investors

In the midst of the noise, much of it political and therefore unhelpful for investors, here are the three most important things to know. None of these is widely understood, so those who get the message first will have an advantage. Everyone is starting to talk about stock prices as a multiple of 2014 earnings. […]

Distinguishing Risk from Fear

Understanding risk is the most important part of investing. Distinguishing risk from fear is a crucial to this knowledge. In my regular commentary I emphasize the difference in time frames between traders and investors. The trader is making a short-term forecast, booking gains and losses on an hourly, daily, or weekly basis. The trader is […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, August 13, 2013

It is officially a Seinfeld market. We have a market about nothing. Not that there’s anything wrong about that. You just need to ask yourself if you are Jerry, Elaine, George or (Cosmo) Kramer. China appears to be springing back to life. I remain on the record as saying that Chinese economic activity is managed […]

Indicator Update: Time to ring the cash register?

In last week’s WTWA I predicted a snoozefest, and that was pretty accurate. I also wrote, “Because column inches and air time must be filled whether there is real news or not, I expect a week laden with speculation about tapering, who will become the new Fed chair, and whether economic data warn of a […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 18, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

The markets came into Wednesday’s session poised to decline. However, ricin laced letters were received in Washington, bomb squads were dispatched in Washington as well and a courthouse was evacuated in Boston. These events just added to the fear that has gripped the nation over the past few days. As a result, the market took […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 10, 2013 ($$)

I returned last evening from my trip to the Land of Dixie for what had to be the most exciting NCAA Men’s Basketball Final 4 ever. The southern hospitality was fantastic as well. You can see some of my pictures on Facebook (FB). While the Championship game might have not been the best of all time, […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, December 6, 2012 ($)

crystalball

If your portfolio consisted solely of Apple (AAPL) -6.43% and Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX) -15.99% stock you got taken to the woodshed yesterday. If your portfolio was exclusively in the options of both stocks, particularly short dated varieties, you were devastated. If you have a diversified portfolio containing both stocks, you underperformed but […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 29, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Wednesday’s session played out as a mirror image of Tuesday’s action. The beige book for the most part was benign.  Positive vibes came out of Washington DC from President Obama, Speaker Boehner and Goldman Sach’s (GS) Lloyd Blankfein. It seems that only in the Senate is the leadership holding to extreme party lines. That might […]

My Gut Feeling For Today, October 4, 2012

For the third time in all three October sessions, the equity markets put in a ho-hum session. Ahead of tomorrow’s monthly labor report, I don’t see today being any different. So, expect another snoozer. If I was to score the debate last night, on a heavyweight 10 point mandatory scale, I would give Romney 10 […]

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