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My Gut Feeling for Today December 6, 2013

The S&P 500 (SPX) daily losing streak extended to five sessions. However the magnitude of the decline in the aggregate is rather mild. Yesterday, the small and mid-cap indexes closed in the green and show signs of bottoming. A dear old friend and fraternity bother emailed me asking whether the market had ever rallied more […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 2, 2013

The S&P 500 (SPX) has advanced three consecutive months heading into December. Many traders and bears are screaming that the market is overbought. So I thought I would dip into my database (which goes back to 1950) and back test the question: What Happens in December after three months of gains for the SPX Here […]

My Gut Feeling for Today November 21, 2013

The market reacted negatively to yesterday’s release of the FOMC minutes because of the fear of tapering. Unfortunately, people do not quite understand or appreciate the difference between quantitative easing and traditional monetary policy. Quantitative Easing or “QE” is an extraordinary method of adding monetary liquidity through the purchasing of longer dated treasury and other […]

My Gut Feeling for Today October 9, 2013

It was a tough day for the markets as the federal government shutdown panic set in hard. I know it is difficult to sit idly by and watch the market sell off while the antics continue in Washington. All I can tell you is that during my professional career on Wall Street I have seen […]

My Gut Feeling for Today October 3, 2013


The S&P 500 (SPX) was barely changed by yesterday’s closing bell. As Richard Gobel and I thought, the risk-on indexes – S&P Smallcap 600 (SML), S&P Midcap 400 (MID), and Russell 2000 (RUT) underperformed and might do so again in the short run. As for today, I expect a weak morning to be met by […]

My Gut Feeling for Today October 1, 2013

Well I woke up today as the garbage was being collected to learn that the world did not stop revolving on its axis because of a government shutdown in Washington. Index futures were rising and gold futures were getting drubbed. All was well in the world. The normal world, that is to say; the world […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, September 24, 2013


I came back yesterday from a very enjoyable and productive trip to Florida, specifically, the Treasure Coast. I will put together my thoughts on that in some future commentary. The S&P 500 (SPX) has backed off for three straight sessions primarily on the back of Debt Ceiling negotiation worries. The latest twist is that the […]

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