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My Gut Feeling for Today, August 21, 2013

Home Depot (HD) and Best Buy (BBY) confirmed my hypothesis that consumers have shifted their discretionary spending from clothing and other stuff to more durable and high ticket items such as those housing related. This is a cycle within a cycle and should begin to dissipate and then reverse once we get closer to the […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 16, 2013


(Due to yesterday’s tragic events, today’s commentary will not be password protected. Tomorrow it will only be available to Platinum subscribers.)  Where do I begin? To say that yesterday’s market would be unexciting and lethargic was an incorrect understatement. Rather the market, nay, the country was subjected to an exogenous event. When that occurs, all […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 29, 2012 ($)


Wednesday’s session played out as a mirror image of Tuesday’s action. The beige book for the most part was benign.  Positive vibes came out of Washington DC from President Obama, Speaker Boehner and Goldman Sach’s (GS) Lloyd Blankfein. It seems that only in the Senate is the leadership holding to extreme party lines. That might […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 28, 2012 ($)


Some positive economic data points and a well received $5 billion takeover of Ralcorp (RAH) by Conagra (CAG) kept the market in check for most of the day. Some afternoon comments by Senate Majority leader Harry Reid about the fiscal cliff negotiations put a damper into the market. Yet, when the dust cleared, the Dow […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, October 17, 2012 ($)


Tuesday transpired like the script I set forth. We got a solid follow through to Monday’s rally and ended on the highs of the session. Joining the party were material and metals stocks. Financials sent mixed messages off of a negative earnings response for Goldman Sachs (GS) and a positive reaction to the management changes […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, October 16, 2012 ($)


We had a textbook bullish day yesterday. A strong open got sold and we closed on the highs. Apple (AAPL) did a loop-d-loop and ended at its highs. Financials put in a strong session. The only major weakness came from mining and materials. On tap today are a slew of earnings from pre-market to after-the-close. […]

QE3 Blunders and Opportunities

The analysis of current Fed policy has included the usual parade of mistaken pundits. There is a legitimate debate about QE3, but it has been obscured by those with an agenda based upon their politics or their business models. The result is an exceptional opportunity for the long-term investor. Mistakes Here are the four biggest […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, June 11, 2012 ($)


While you might not be a fan of Barack Obama, count me in that camp, you have to give him credit for helping to put a pop into the markets on Friday In his press conference Friday, he called on Europe to fix its banking and sovereign credit problems. After a solid week, the bulls […]

Digging Deeper Into The JP Morgan Chase Loss


By know you should have heard that after the market closed yesterday, JP Morgan Chase (JPM) announced that the company lost about $2 billion on synthetic credit security investment trades taken on by its chief investment office in its London branch. Supposedly the loss was taken on poorly designed hedges in its credit risk portfolio. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, Jan 4, 2012


Yesterday was Wall Street’s traditional way of ringing in the New Year, with a solid rally. However, it was not a perfect day as the consumer discretionary stocks took it on the chin after a huge run up in crude prices. Today will be Wall Street’s version of The Hangover and we will forget much […]

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