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My Gut Feeling for Today, November 29, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Wednesday’s session played out as a mirror image of Tuesday’s action. The beige book for the most part was benign.  Positive vibes came out of Washington DC from President Obama, Speaker Boehner and Goldman Sach’s (GS) Lloyd Blankfein. It seems that only in the Senate is the leadership holding to extreme party lines. That might […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, August 15, 2012 ($)

crystalball

To be quite honest, we are entering the summer doldrums. The day’s will become increasingly boring with light volume until Labor Day, unless there is some exogenous event to roil the markets. I am expecting a 1 – 2% pullback, on a closing basis, although, at least psychologically, S&P 500 (SPX) level of 1,400 may […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, Aug 6, 2012 ($)

After an emotionally charged week of global central bank and economic news, we might get a nice week to rest and enjoy the summer weather. Coming out of that week global markets are setting up for some upward bias which I expect to be accentuated by a shift of assets out of fixed income into […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, August 3, 2012 ($)

crystalball

The ECB disappointment helped to send stocks lower on Thursday putting the markets down about 1% so far for the month of August. That was then; the Labor report for July is now.  Non-farm payrolls are expected to rise 100,000 while the unemployment rate is expected to hold at 8.2%. I strongly believe we need […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, Aug 2, 2012 ($)

We got past the FOMC decision only to realize that it was just the same old same old. Expectations of a QEIII were naive and counterproductive. To be honest, we need fiscal not monetary policy in this country at this juncture. Create jobs, period. Today we will hear from the ECB. I expect some more […]

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