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My Gut Feeling for Today October 2, 2013

If you spent your day trying to watch the Panda cam at the national zoo or decided that Tuesday October 1, 2013 was the perfect day to visit the Statue of Liberty for the first time in your life, you were both disappointed and missed out at the positive market action which took its direction […]

After the Fed — Themes for Investors

In the midst of the noise, much of it political and therefore unhelpful for investors, here are the three most important things to know. None of these is widely understood, so those who get the message first will have an advantage. Everyone is starting to talk about stock prices as a multiple of 2014 earnings. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, September 3, 2013

Welcome to September. Now that August is over and done, the front line players are back at their desks and in front of their screens. The markets are poised to rise today on strong overseas markets on Monday and Tuesday. We also woke up to a series of important deals: Microsoft (MSFT) buying Nokia’s (NOK) mobile […]

Distinguishing Risk from Fear

Understanding risk is the most important part of investing. Distinguishing risk from fear is a crucial to this knowledge. In my regular commentary I emphasize the difference in time frames between traders and investors. The trader is making a short-term forecast, booking gains and losses on an hourly, daily, or weekly basis. The trader is […]

Indicator Update: Time to ring the cash register?

In last week’s WTWA I predicted a snoozefest, and that was pretty accurate. I also wrote, “Because column inches and air time must be filled whether there is real news or not, I expect a week laden with speculation about tapering, who will become the new Fed chair, and whether economic data warn of a […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, July 22, 2013

crystalball

History tells us about the fall of Rome. The British Empire once never had a sunset but that is no longer the case. So last week, the market finally came to the realization that Microsoft (MSFT) best days are in the rear-view mirror. The Zune and Surface could not save this company. Windows 8 is […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, July 18, 2013

crystalball

The S&P 500 (SPX) inched up yesterday in a session that was, as I expected, dominated by Ben Bernanke’s testimony and earnings. Earnings will continue to dominate today, both from the mega cap tech companies that reported last evening Intel (INTC), EBay (EBAY) and IBM (IBM) as well as this morning’s reports from United Health […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, June 27, 2013

On Wednesday, bad news was good news and the market rallied anyway. I was asked last evening at a meeting: why the market was so volatile lately? I responded with my own question: what do you mean by volatile? The response I got, the one I expected, was that the Dow Jones Industrials was up […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, May 3, 2013

crystalball

Today the Bureau of Labor Statistics will reveal it much anticipated April jobs report. However, as we can already glean from the last two weeks’ weekly unemployment claims releases, that April data may not only be stale but will be underwhelming. Expect a disappointing report today, likely received with a knee jerk Pavlovian trader response. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 18, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

The markets came into Wednesday’s session poised to decline. However, ricin laced letters were received in Washington, bomb squads were dispatched in Washington as well and a courthouse was evacuated in Boston. These events just added to the fear that has gripped the nation over the past few days. As a result, the market took […]

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