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My Gut Feeling for Today December 6, 2013

The S&P 500 (SPX) daily losing streak extended to five sessions. However the magnitude of the decline in the aggregate is rather mild. Yesterday, the small and mid-cap indexes closed in the green and show signs of bottoming. A dear old friend and fraternity bother emailed me asking whether the market had ever rallied more […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 5, 2013

You could hardly believe that the S&P 500 (SPX) has declined for four consecutive days. Another attempt at a sell-off of significance and breaking the bulls’ confidence was thwarted for the second consecutive day. It is quite apparent that the sellers lack ammunition and the buyers have deep pockets. So here we sit just over […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 3, 2013

The markets followed the script I wrote yesterday, opening a bit higher and then sellers made their presence known, leading a mild bout of profit taking for the session. Interestingly, despite a slightly negative tape, transports rose and midcaps were flat for the session. The real damage was done to the small cap indexes such […]

My Gut Feeling for Today December 2, 2013

The S&P 500 (SPX) has advanced three consecutive months heading into December. Many traders and bears are screaming that the market is overbought. So I thought I would dip into my database (which goes back to 1950) and back test the question: What Happens in December after three months of gains for the SPX Here […]

My Gut Feeling for Today November 25, 2013

The S&P 500 (SPX) closed above 1,800 for the first time ever. While that has a psychological impact upon the markets, as it turns out, according to Jewish numerology; that is also a good luck sign. Numbers in Hebrew are written using the Hebrew alphabet, somewhat along the line of Roman numerals, only in a […]

My Gut Feeling for Today November 22, 2013

The reaction to the FOMC minutes turned out to be another one-day misdirection, which came as no surprise to me. After a very tumultuous week in the markets and a busy schedule after hours this week, I am ready for a quiet trading day and restful weekend. There are no economic events on today’s calendar. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today November 19, 2013

The problem with round numbers for indexes is that traders know the emotional significance on the part of retail investors and the media’s coverage of such events. As a result, those traders lean on the round numbers like S&P 500 (SPX) 1,800 and Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) 16,000 and sell or short the market. However, […]

My Gut Feeling for Today November 11, 2013

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On Friday, After receiving a better than expected monthly labor report for October, including upward adjustments to prior months’ data, the Down Jones Industrials (DJIA) closed at an all-time high and the S&P 500 (SPX) closed within a whisker of its all-time high. As I hypothesized on Friday, Thursday was a one-day blunder for the […]

My Gut Feeling for Today October 9, 2013

It was a tough day for the markets as the federal government shutdown panic set in hard. I know it is difficult to sit idly by and watch the market sell off while the antics continue in Washington. All I can tell you is that during my professional career on Wall Street I have seen […]

My Gut Feeling for Today October 3, 2013

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The S&P 500 (SPX) was barely changed by yesterday’s closing bell. As Richard Gobel and I thought, the risk-on indexes – S&P Smallcap 600 (SML), S&P Midcap 400 (MID), and Russell 2000 (RUT) underperformed and might do so again in the short run. As for today, I expect a weak morning to be met by […]

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