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My Gut Feeling for Today December 3, 2013

The markets followed the script I wrote yesterday, opening a bit higher and then sellers made their presence known, leading a mild bout of profit taking for the session. Interestingly, despite a slightly negative tape, transports rose and midcaps were flat for the session. The real damage was done to the small cap indexes such […]

My Gut Feeling for Today November 21, 2013

The market reacted negatively to yesterday’s release of the FOMC minutes because of the fear of tapering. Unfortunately, people do not quite understand or appreciate the difference between quantitative easing and traditional monetary policy. Quantitative Easing or “QE” is an extraordinary method of adding monetary liquidity through the purchasing of longer dated treasury and other […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 3, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

The first two days of April have been quite strange for the markets. I do have a theory as to what is going on. First let me say that the serial top callers were out in full force on Monday only to find out that the day turned out to be a one-day event. Tuesday’s […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 28, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

After two days off to celebrate the Passover holiday with family and observe in synagogue, it is time to get back to focus on the markets. With Good Friday on the calendar for tomorrow, today is both the last day of the week and quarter.  After a down week last week, the first such occurrence […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 15, 2013 ($$)

It was yet another record day for the Dow Jones Industrials (DJI) as the S&P 500 (SPX) moved ever closer to its all-time high. I believe that all-time high will be breached and a new record will be set today. The air continues to come out of the bond market despite the strong US dollar. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, January 7, 2013 ($$)

crystalball

The Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly employment report for December came in right on target, for a change. The report was statistical noise resulting in the non-event that I mentioned would likely result on Friday morning. In the fullness of time, that is the span of time for a trading day, the bulls held the […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, December 5, 2012 ($)

crystalball

In case you did not catch it, Bloomberg picked up my commentary on Zynga (ZNGA) from “My Gut Feeling” yesterday. In I espouse reasons why Zynga should be taken over as the company’s stock is selling for nearly cash value and you can get the gaming technology for a cheap price. Pimm Fox and Mark […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 30, 2012 ($)

crystalball

We got some solid follow through action yesterday lead by my favorite risk-on index, the Russell 2000 (RUT). I still hold R2K related ETFs (IWM, UWM).  It appears that the economy grew more than expected in the third quarter, that is, should you chose to believe the data. What I am seeing from macro-economic data […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 29, 2012 ($)

crystalball

Wednesday’s session played out as a mirror image of Tuesday’s action. The beige book for the most part was benign.  Positive vibes came out of Washington DC from President Obama, Speaker Boehner and Goldman Sach’s (GS) Lloyd Blankfein. It seems that only in the Senate is the leadership holding to extreme party lines. That might […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, November 19, 2012 ($)

Here you go; I am going to say it. A bottom was put in on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) closed 0.94% off the lows; The S&P 500 (SPX) closed 1.23% off the lows; the NASDAQ Composite (IXIC) closed 1.52% off the lows; and, the Russell 2000 (RUT) closed 1.67% off the lows. All […]

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