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My Gut Feeling for Today, July 29, 2013

The streak of moderate movement for the S&P 500 (SPX) in which the index has risen or fallen less than nine points was extended to eleven trading sessions on Friday. That index is now within a few points of its all-time closing high set earlier in July and about ½% within the round level of […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, July 8, 2013


With the long holiday weekend behind us, the markets can turn to earnings. Negative pre-announcements have been for the most part far and few between with little magnitude. While tradition dictates that Alcoa (AA) which reports results this afternoon is the official beginning to earnings season, the second quarter reporting season will begin in earnest […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, June 4, 2013


Well, as I suspected, we would get confirmation that the US markets really don’t give a darn about slight increases in interest rates. It was a strange day without a doubt – strong open, weak middle and even stronger close. Sector by sector and company by company, stocks traded all over the place. It was […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 4, 2013 ($$)

I have said repeatedly that the one risk to the market rally would be an exogenous event. On Tuesday, the markets negated Monday’s declines and were prepared to continue their rally on Wednesday. Then all of a sudden we got saber rattling from Dr. Jong-Un Strangelove which set off the uncontrollable Pavlovian responses by the trade first think rationally second crowd. […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, April 3, 2013 ($$)


The first two days of April have been quite strange for the markets. I do have a theory as to what is going on. First let me say that the serial top callers were out in full force on Monday only to find out that the day turned out to be a one-day event. Tuesday’s […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, March 12, 2013 ($$)


For the most part Monday played out as expected, a soft trading day. However, in the end, I was wrong in that we did not end mildly to the downside. Traders broke out their teeter-totters once again and the major indexes all closed to the upside with the S&P 500 (SPX) once again registering a […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, February 25, 2013 ($$)


Did you hunker down this weekend worrying over the Italian parliamentary elections? Apparently the bears sent out a memo to that effect. Unfortunately for them, their emails we were caught as spam. Maybe we should have been petrified about the Moody’s downgrade of United Kingdom?  However, I spoke to some Frenchmen over the weekend and […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, February 22, 2013 ($$)


When markets pull back around the globe, they usually turn in the US. That happened again yesterday in the mid-afternoon. From peak to trough, the S&P 500 (SPX) declined about 2.2% and then began to rebound. This morning, off the back of: Hewlett Packard (HPQ) earnings; positive economic news out of Germany; and, yet another […]

My Gut Feeling for Today, January 29, 2013 ($$)

So on the ninth day the streak ended. The streak that is, and not the rally. I read an interesting piece by Jeff Saut of Raymond James (RJF) who, applying his own set of statistics and technical indicators, laid out a very cogent theory that the rally was far from over and that through Friday, […]

10 Things I Will Not Miss About 2012

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Every year since 2002 I have closed out the year with my satirical look at the world through the eyes of a professional investor poking fun at what has transpired in our global society during the year we are about to turn the page on. You can access a complete list of all prior years’ […]

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