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The Professor’s Classroom for October 28, 2011

Here is the Finance Professor’s Classroom for October 27th, 2011:

Oct 28 2 011, 6:33 AM

Scott Rothbort: Chad. The great equalizer and arbiter for the stock market is earnings. Your impression of the political and economic situation is very much a subjective view, in many cases influenced by the media. However, earnings are objective. Don’t totally ignore the objective and anecdotal but hard data should guide you.

Oct 28 2011, 6:36 AM

Scott Rothbort: Anil - Once you use the word gamble I have to take pause. Yes I see an upward move through the end of the year. Pick quality stocks, preferable those with excellent forward earnings for 2012 as investors and analysts will be pushing those as we exit 2011 and enter 2012. Also, Anil you are talking about some day trades. With some rare exceptions, I do not participate in that activity and do not recommend doing so as a primary strategy.


Oct 28 2011, 7:21 AM

Chad Graham: Well, I am in the building product distribution industry in Toledo, OH. So, I suppose we are probably a lot worse off than a large portion of the country since Toledo is primarily manufacturing and auto industry.


Oct 28 2011, 7:32 AM

Scott Rothbort: That trend is clear. The country and its economy continues to shift from manufacturing to services. What makes it worst is that whatever manufacturing we have is moving from the Midwest to the south. That exacerbates the conditions in Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Indiana, etc.


Oct 28 2011, 7:33 AM

Scott Rothbort: Not to add insult to injury but the building product industry is still suffering from the lack of home and commercial construction.


Oct 28 2011, 7:39 AM

Chad Graham: That it is. That said I am considering a long position in USG. All of the gypsum manufacturers have announced a 35% increase on January 1st. For the first time in 3 years the actions of the manufacturing plants in terms of job pricing, allocation, and product availability makes me believe this increase is for real and will stick. I would have to think at the very least margins should jump,and they may actually turn a profit in the first quarter 2012


Oct 28 2011, 10:13 AM
Scott Rothbort: That could work as a rental not an investment

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